États-Unis Attentes inflationnistes

US consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead rose to 3.4% in September 2025, the highest in five months, compared to 3.2% in August. Consumers see higher prices for food (+0.3 percentage point to 5.8%, the highest since March 2023), gas (+0.3 percentage point to 4.2%), medical care (+0.5 percentage point to 9.3%), and rent (+1.0 percentage point to 7.0%). On the other hand, the year-ahead expected change in the cost of a college education declined by 0.8 percentage point to 7%. Median home price growth expectations remained unchanged at 3% for the fourth consecutive month. Meanwhile, inflation expectations for the five-year horizon also increased to 3% from 2.9% while those for the three-year-ahead horizon held at 3%. Elsewhere, earnings growth expectations decreased by 0.1 percentage point to 2.4%, the lowest reading since April 2021. Unemployment expectations increased 2.0 percentage points to 41.1% and the median expected growth in household income was unchanged at 2.9%.